Seven days ago people here slipped out early to polling stations and
then came straight home. Many families even stocked up on food in case
things went badly.
Despite the event being worthy of
celebration, the powers-that-be managed to make it feel scary. The small
group of leaders in Myanmar were allowing a more inclusive system to
emerge, yet guaranteeing their right to clamp down if that system became
unstable.
By evening on election day, fear of
violence slowly dissolved, replaced by excitement and confidence. Here
in Yangon, streets that had been empty in the morning began to fill up.
It became clear that citizens hadn’t paid a price to participate. Two
days later, on a bus traveling to Naypyidaw, I noticed people proudly
displaying their purple left pinkies: proof that they had voted.
The
country savored that election delight throughout the week as reports
grew of an absolute majority for the party whose slogan is “Time for
Change.” The National League for Democracy (NLD), led by Aung San Suu
Kyi, clearly has repeated its rout of 1990. Back then, the government
refused to honor the outcome and instead arrested The Lady, as Suu Kyi
is commonly known. This time, it appears the vote will be allowed to
stand.
Which of course presents a whole new set of
problems. The stunning results don’t instantly erase the countless
challenges here. As one member of the ruling party was quoted as saying,
“Our USDP lost completely. The NLD has won. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi has to
take responsibility now.” Among the headaches she inherits are tense
relationships with ethnic armed groups, an out-of-balance economy,
environmental damage, and pressures from neighboring countries.

The former junta has protected itself well by creating a complex political system that allows it to claim quasi-civilian status.
The
Constitution provides its members a quarter of Parliament’s seats
without having to run for them, plus control of key ministries and many
other perks. The military can be embarrassed but never really lose. Some
people suggest that despite the election outcome, real authority in the
country remains with a few generals and a few wealthy families.
Aung
San Suu Kyi and her party find themselves with all the responsibility
but not enough power to create their “time for change.” Indeed, they’re
in the weird position of needing to continue behaving as the minority
opposition party, despite superiority in numbers. There can’t be too
many places in the world where that’s the case.
The
election season’s biggest losers may be Muslims. For the first time,
they’re not represented in Parliament at all. Large numbers of them were
prevented from voting, and parties that tried to run Muslim candidates
often had their candidates rejected by the national election commission.
Many say they feel less welcome in Myanmar than ever. Last month Yale
Law School’s human rights clinic added its voice to other groups that
claim genocide is being committed against the largest Muslim minority
group in western Myanmar. Tragically, many people here aren’t shy about
their anti-Muslim feelings. If the NLD were to take an inter-faith
harmony stance, it might get a backlash.
Election
observers throughout the country breathed easier this past week. Their
biggest fear going into last Sunday had been some significant group
refusing to accept the outcome. Advance voting wasn’t smooth, and on
election day many townships were denied the chance to vote on
questionable grounds. Yet the NLD, having won enough seats to pass bills
and elect the president (a complicated process from which Aung San Suu
Kyi is constitutionally excluded), was not likely to quibble with any
irregularities reported. Military rulers this time showed no signs of
repeating their 1990 annulment of the results.
Despite
the many obstacles faced by Myanmar as it reforms the past several
decades’ worth of mis-government, it’s still a wonderful time for the
country. Lots of people worked very hard to carry out an election that
for its peaceful nature alone can be thought of as a victory in itself.